PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.004 to 0.035. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010133133
0.0116139
0.012353492
0.0135497
0.0145502
0.01558560
0.0435565
0.044100665
0.04623688
0.05036724
0.06210734
0.06310744

Spread0.002Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00820,72220,722
0.00514520,867
0.0046,52527,392
0.00323127,623
0.00210,21337,836
0.00130038,136

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99220,72220,722
0.99514520,867
0.9966,52527,392
0.99723127,623
0.99810,21337,836
0.99930038,136

Spread0.002Mid0.991

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990133133
0.9896139
0.988353492
0.9875497
0.9865502
0.98558560
0.9575565
0.956100665
0.95423688
0.95036724
0.93810734
0.93710744

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Kaiji123Yes3,500
SugarinaYes3,000
RickRockRickYes2,600
planktonXDYes1,633.76
skold0rYes519.18
JoyLYes350
oboltusovaoYes315
anonimiyYes300
AlexxieazYes188.83
Berlin4Yes183.7
ComradeCatYes162.83
0x3f182612658cb4c55044a94c1E02632Dba0925EC-1788390368618Yes158.99
MartinPNZYes98.27
neverhackmeYes68.22
EtherappYes61.28
LornaPredictsYes59.9
0xd572222053A0b09dA24Cd854C41a873D87Db7377-1788817801783Yes58.02
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes39.99
jackli003Yes28.5
whereismymoneyYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:13:29SELLYes0.011$0.01
19:12:16BUYYes0.0080574373112$0.90
17:27:05BUYNo0.992960201650$49.65
17:27:05BUYNo0.993734430479$78.51
17:27:05BUYNo0.99210$9.92
17:19:43BUYNo0.9929100$99.29
17:05:28SELLYes0.01214$0.17
17:00:08SELLYes0.011500$5.50
16:50:38BUYNo0.98910$9.89
16:50:38BUYNo0.98910$9.89
16:33:46BUYNo0.9885$4.96
16:15:04BUYNo0.986510$9.87
15:57:47BUYNo0.98516792366$5.92
14:58:38BUYNo0.9835$4.92
13:11:04BUYYes0.0272180437184$5.00
13:07:32SELLYes0.01550$0.74
12:44:40SELLYes0.01512$0.18
12:42:49BUYNo0.98599999939$8.88
12:41:47BUYNo0.9868$7.89
12:41:47BUYNo0.98610$9.86
12:40:08BUYNo0.98610$9.86
12:40:08BUYNo0.98610$9.86
12:39:53BUYNo0.985648026376$74.91
12:39:53BUYNo0.98510$9.85
12:39:02BUYNo0.9868$7.89