Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-10
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.06 to 0.12. 43 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	185	185
0.08	1,403	1,588
0.09	113	1,701
0.10	268	1,970
0.11	102	2,071
0.12	13	2,084
0.13	112	2,196
0.14	587	2,782
0.15	2,090	4,872
0.16	277	5,149
0.17	88	5,237
0.18	81	5,318

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	56	56
0.05	889	945
0.04	1,029	1,974
0.03	1,014	2,988
0.02	41,443	44,431
0.01	600	45,031

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	56	56
0.95	889	945
0.96	1,029	1,974
0.97	1,014	2,988
0.98	41,443	44,431
0.99	600	45,031

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	185	185
0.92	1,403	1,588
0.91	113	1,701
0.90	268	1,970
0.89	102	2,071
0.88	13	2,084
0.87	112	2,196
0.86	587	2,782
0.85	2,090	4,872
0.84	277	5,149
0.83	88	5,237
0.82	81	5,318

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sebyastiens	Yes	2,000
ComradeCat	Yes	694.55
OsvaldoMarianao27	Yes	300
2B9S	Yes	193
IgorBabich	Yes	191.5
WanderingPanda	Yes	60.32
TheGreatBeta	Yes	30
0x0ab1435a32D29583772d6f4317b838eD8cC07017-1772214186459	Yes	28.26
ghorrock	Yes	17.93
yimengweima	Yes	15.63
Caaren	Yes	10
Miles07	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	3,242.55
hetacz	No	200
CaprioDiLeo	No	59.69
Blueynbingo	No	20.94
Carabao	No	18
Bitgod	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:13:15	BUY	No	0.94	15	$14.10
00:13:15	SELL	Yes	0.06	15	$0.90
16:09:49	BUY	Yes	0.0783279592	192	$15.00
12:23:04	BUY	No	0.9399999962	5	$5.00
08:49:01	BUY	Yes	0.0707808007	28	$2.00
18:47:04	SELL	Yes	0.06	5	$0.30
18:46:58	SELL	Yes	0.06	50	$3.00
18:46:57	BUY	No	0.9374	100	$93.74
16:51:55	BUY	No	0.93	100	$93.00
15:09:42	BUY	No	0.93	54	$50.22
15:09:42	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
15:09:34	BUY	No	0.93	27	$25.11
15:08:27	BUY	Yes	0.07	88	$6.16
15:08:00	BUY	No	0.95	18	$17.10
15:08:00	BUY	No	0.95	18	$17.10
10:17:33	BUY	No	0.95	20	$19.00
10:17:31	BUY	No	0.95	40	$38.00
10:17:31	BUY	No	0.95	20	$19.00
10:17:31	BUY	No	0.95	100	$95.00
08:27:16	BUY	No	0.96	16	$15.00