Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-10
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.49. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.47 to 0.49. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	609	609
0.51	1,063	1,672
0.52	1,050	2,722
0.53	275	2,997
0.54	305	3,302
0.55	770	4,071
0.56	1,052	5,124
0.57	942	6,066
0.58	1,017	7,083
0.59	473	7,556
0.60	583	8,139
0.61	478	8,617

Spread0.01Mid0.49

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	399	399
0.48	446	845
0.47	1,292	2,137
0.46	763	2,900
0.45	1,742	4,642
0.44	243	4,885
0.43	762	5,647
0.42	4	5,651
0.41	628	6,280
0.40	10	6,290
0.38	117	6,407
0.36	10	6,417

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	399	399
0.52	446	845
0.53	1,292	2,137
0.54	763	2,900
0.55	1,742	4,642
0.56	243	4,885
0.57	762	5,647
0.58	4	5,651
0.59	628	6,280
0.60	10	6,290
0.62	117	6,407
0.64	10	6,417

Spread0.01Mid0.51

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	609	609
0.49	1,063	1,672
0.48	1,050	2,722
0.47	275	2,997
0.46	305	3,302
0.45	770	4,071
0.44	1,052	5,124
0.43	942	6,066
0.42	1,017	7,083
0.41	473	7,556
0.40	583	8,139
0.39	478	8,617

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
dddtrips	Yes	1,227.57
0x5c4f…3338	Yes	1,000
smalltimezzz	Yes	641.22
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	289.65
suntori	Yes	209.86
SupremeGambler	Yes	194.82
Badekarret	Yes	142.17
0x1840…6798	Yes	104.17
donthackme	Yes	75.75
oboltusovao	Yes	50.01
aurora1	Yes	50
MartinPNZ	Yes	48.4
Valentinka22	Yes	40.34
neverhackme	Yes	39
LetsRich	Yes	32.1
0xf5b2…0334	Yes	20.96
0xc22a…83c9	Yes	20.83
0x88ca…48bf	Yes	20.41
JoyL	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:53:27	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:53:24	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:42:13	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:39:00	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:38:48	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:34:21	BUY	No	0.5099999566	4	$2.00
05:29:54	BUY	No	0.5099999566	4	$2.00
05:25:34	BUY	No	0.5099999566	4	$2.00
05:25:34	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:25:31	BUY	Yes	0.5	4	$2.00
05:22:39	BUY	Yes	0.49	128	$62.90
05:21:18	BUY	Yes	0.4899998285	2	$1.00
05:21:13	BUY	Yes	0.4899999534	4	$2.00
05:21:13	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:21:12	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:21:10	BUY	Yes	0.4899999814	20	$10.00
05:16:07	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:16:06	BUY	Yes	0.4899999534	4	$2.00
05:16:06	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:07:45	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:07:22	BUY	No	0.5199999896	4	$2.00
05:05:45	BUY	Yes	0.4899999534	4	$2.00
04:44:16	BUY	Yes	0.4899998285	2	$1.00
04:40:36	BUY	Yes	0.4899999534	4	$2.00
04:22:12	BUY	Yes	0.4984361566	32	$16.00