0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9
- Realised P&L
- $17.37
- Volume
- $570.03
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $63.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.425 | $10.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.495 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No | 0.520 | 0.530 | $10.19 | +$0.19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.795 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.560 | $8.36 | −$1.64 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.200 | $7.41 | −$2.59 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $4.13 | −$5.87 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.105 | $1.31 | −$1.44 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? · No | 0.390 | 0.265 | $0.86 | −$0.40 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.710 | 0.115 | $0.47 | −$2.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.67at 0.240Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.400Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$5.63at 0.640Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$4.94at 0.670Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$4.55at 0.680Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 20:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 00:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 16:48 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:47 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:47 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.389999839 | $1.26 |
| 08-05 04:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:33 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.331707304 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:37 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.489999893 | $1.97 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |