0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9
0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9
- Realised P&L
- $-38.26
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $10.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? · No | 0.720 | 0.740 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.007 | $0.09 | −$2.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.29at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$15.64at 0.390US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$14.70at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$13.03at 0.440Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$10.57at 0.492Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:57 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 08:56 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7099999925 | $4.74 |
| 09-16 19:59 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.39 |
| 09-13 23:14 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999378 | $2.25 |
| 09-07 20:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.3719999564 | $1.23 |
| 09-03 10:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.04 |
| 09-03 01:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999791 | $4.42 |
| 09-01 12:34 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 03:29 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.6389999684 | $3.50 |
| 08-22 15:08 | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 22:02 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 13:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 03:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 18:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |