PolyBot

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Traders

0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9

Realised P&L
$17.37
Volume
$570.03
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$63.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3900.425$10.90+$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? · Yes0.4800.495$10.31+$0.31
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No0.5200.530$10.19+$0.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? · No0.8000.795$9.94$0.06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · Yes0.6700.560$8.36$1.64
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? · Yes0.2700.200$7.41$2.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2300.095$4.13$5.87
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2200.105$1.31$1.44
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? · No0.3900.265$0.86$0.40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7100.115$0.47$2.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 04:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
08-07 20:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
08-07 00:49Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-06 16:48Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
08-06 08:47Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
08-06 00:47Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?BUY0.389999839$1.26
08-05 04:46Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
08-04 20:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.389999986$10.00
08-04 12:38Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.64$10.00
08-04 04:33Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-03 20:33Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.331707304$10.00
08-03 11:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-03 03:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00
08-02 19:37Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.489999893$1.97
08-02 11:16Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999876$10.00