0x88ca392d88dcb63a92d3713b8d11cf21da0148bf
- Realised P&L
- $-82.59
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $88.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.86at 0.170Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$27.54at 0.190Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5
- +$26.86at 0.210Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5
- +$26.25at 0.160Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$24.41at 0.230Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7699999638 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:38 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? | BUY | 0.3259999847 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 12:38 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $590 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 04:37 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:05 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.6879999439 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 19:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 11:43 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7899999415 | $10.12 |
| 08-01 03:35 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 19:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999732 | $5.04 |
| 07-31 11:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 19:36 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 05:31 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |