0x18406d7f7318b16a136c1f643e8842c685106798
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $768.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.18at 0.160Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$281.37at 0.190Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5
- +$281.37at 0.190Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5
- +$225.00at 0.100Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$220.96at 0.230Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 04:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 19:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 11:54 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.3231410048 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 03:46 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 03:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 19:39 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 11:38 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 03:37 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 19:37 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 11:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 03:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 19:32 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 11:31 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.3209171965 | $50.00 |