PolyBot

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Traders

0x18406d7f7318b16a136c1f643e8842c685106798

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$768.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.4100.725$88.41+$38.41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5200.865$83.17+$33.17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? · Yes0.4800.620$64.58+$14.58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · No0.3400.390$57.35+$7.35
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? · Yes0.3210.345$53.74+$3.74
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.2200.235$53.41+$3.41
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.5500.560$50.91+$0.91
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.3230.310$47.97$2.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.7500.715$47.67$2.33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.2400.225$46.87$3.12
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes0.5500.460$41.82$8.18
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7000.555$39.64$10.36
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.500$38.46$11.54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.7700.565$36.68$13.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2100.075$17.86$32.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 04:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
08-08 19:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
08-08 11:54Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.3231410048$50.00
08-08 03:46US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7$50.00
08-07 19:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.7499999887$50.00
08-07 11:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
08-07 03:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
08-06 19:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.7699999969$50.00
08-06 11:38Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6499999987$50.00
08-06 03:37Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.5499999895$50.00
08-05 19:37Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5499999895$50.00
08-05 11:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
08-05 03:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.25$50.00
08-04 19:32Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
08-04 11:31Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?BUY0.3209171965$50.00