Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-05
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.44. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.39 to 0.55. 42 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	337	337
0.46	835	1,172
0.47	258	1,430
0.48	281	1,710
0.50	649	2,359
0.51	883	3,242
0.52	814	4,056
0.53	816	4,872
0.54	1,215	6,087
0.55	581	6,668
0.56	439	7,107
0.57	979	8,086

Spread0.02Mid0.44

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	1,037	1,037
0.42	733	1,770
0.41	216	1,986
0.40	486	2,472
0.39	241	2,713
0.38	17	2,730
0.36	100	2,830
0.35	20	2,850
0.32	20	2,870
0.29	20	2,890
0.28	100	2,990
0.26	20	3,010

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	1,037	1,037
0.58	733	1,770
0.59	216	1,986
0.60	486	2,472
0.61	241	2,713
0.62	17	2,730
0.64	100	2,830
0.65	20	2,850
0.68	20	2,870
0.71	20	2,890
0.72	100	2,990
0.74	20	3,010

Spread0.02Mid0.56

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	337	337
0.54	835	1,172
0.53	258	1,430
0.52	281	1,710
0.50	649	2,359
0.49	883	3,242
0.48	814	4,056
0.47	816	4,872
0.46	1,215	6,087
0.45	581	6,668
0.44	439	7,107
0.43	979	8,086

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
smalltimezzz	Yes	1,113.06
sazzaa	Yes	1,046.57
0x5c4f…3338	Yes	1,000
Mr-Ferrari	Yes	690
runes-leo	Yes	150
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	126.38
Ondra	Yes	109
IlyaFed	Yes	103
oboltusovao	Yes	87.58
hjn1023	Yes	70.31
0x20E1e2248FfD1413c1230EdF2a366b946eEbBeAB-1772286951101	Yes	66.43
Badekarret	Yes	61.66
MartinPNZ	Yes	53.23
0xcd2c…0c32	Yes	50
JoyL	Yes	49.91
Firewell	Yes	48.78
whereismymoney	Yes	44
weatherlover21	Yes	36.67
alber217	Yes	33.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:38:24	SELL	No	0.55	8	$4.50
08:28:36	SELL	No	0.56	8	$4.59
08:18:53	SELL	Yes	0.43	11	$4.88
08:07:47	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
08:04:08	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
08:03:24	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
07:12:30	SELL	Yes	0.43	1	$0.40
06:57:39	BUY	Yes	0.4399999707	7	$3.00
06:51:27	SELL	Yes	0.43	4	$1.91
06:24:06	BUY	No	0.57	22	$12.54
06:22:23	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
06:18:06	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
06:16:42	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
06:16:39	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
06:16:39	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
06:09:23	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
05:41:29	BUY	Yes	0.4399999928	66	$29.23
05:36:59	BUY	No	0.5699998402	2	$1.07
05:36:59	BUY	No	0.5699998402	2	$1.07
05:36:56	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
05:24:06	BUY	Yes	0.44	90	$39.60
05:12:39	BUY	No	0.5699998402	2	$1.07
05:12:39	BUY	Yes	0.4399998064	2	$1.00
04:55:51	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00
04:54:06	BUY	Yes	0.4399999296	5	$2.00