PolyBot

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Traders

0xcd2cf8b59b03f002cf8fa77ded11661424470c32

0xcd2cf8b59b03f002cf8fa77ded11661424470c32

Realised P&L
$-172.18
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$14.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7900.775$4.94−$0.10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.475$1.40+$0.40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7300.855$1.17+$0.17
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7900.880$1.11+$0.11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9350.957$1.02+$0.02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6600.665$1.01+$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No0.7800.750$0.96−$0.04
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.525$0.78−$0.22
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.4B? · Yes0.7500.525$0.70−$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.2700.075$0.28−$0.72
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2100.024$0.14−$1.12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.4800.018$0.04−$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:15Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-11 22:15Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-11 14:15Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.4B?BUY0.75$1.00
10-11 05:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-10 21:26Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 13:22Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.78$1.00
10-10 05:19Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-10 05:04Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 17:46Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5559997376$1.00
10-09 09:44Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7959999331$1.00
10-09 01:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 17:33Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 08:29Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7389999852$1.00
10-08 00:28Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-07 16:28Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00