Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-21
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.131 over the period, from 0.150. Range 0.002 to 0.250. 59 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	40	40
0.040	20	60
0.068	45	105
0.069	20	125
0.109	20	145
0.167	50	195
0.168	20	215
0.252	20	235
0.253	8	243
0.343	5	248
0.344	20	268
0.345	80	348

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	40	40
0.960	20	60
0.932	45	105
0.931	20	125
0.891	20	145
0.833	50	195
0.832	20	215
0.748	20	235
0.747	8	243
0.657	5	248
0.656	20	268
0.655	80	348

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Haradwaith	Yes	80
.Menthe	Yes	50
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	31.11
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	26.24
helicobite	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	18
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
Bearnaise	Yes	9
balthazar	Yes	5.27
triklozoid	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	213.51
johnpudricion	No	40
iliabouchouev	No	11.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:19:21	BUY	No	0.999	11	$11.10
10:11:03	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:59:23	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:47:47	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:32:47	SELL	Yes	0.001	20	$0.02
09:19:41	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
04:47:33	BUY	No	0.99	40	$39.60
04:31:45	BUY	No	0.99	16	$16.08
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.85	13	$10.88
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.85	7	$6.12