Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-21
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.170 over the period, from 0.170. Range 0.001 to 0.175. 58 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	30	30
0.038	60	90
0.039	25	115
0.040	20	135
0.070	20	155
0.259	13	168
0.620	20	188
0.979	40	228
0.989	181	409
0.990	157	565
0.997	333	899
0.998	500	1,399

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	30	30
0.962	60	90
0.961	25	115
0.960	20	135
0.930	20	155
0.741	13	168
0.380	20	188
0.021	40	228
0.011	181	409
0.010	157	565
0.003	333	899
0.002	500	1,399

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
IntaSewer	Yes	149
Haradwaith	Yes	80
.Menthe	Yes	50
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	40
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	26.24
JusduA	Yes	20.01
a5533	Yes	20
helicobite	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	18
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
Bearnaise	Yes	9
tradetosurvive1	Yes	5.28
triklozoid	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	213.51
johnpudricion	No	100
bubububblebutt	No	80.01
johnsalchichon	No	69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:24:14	BUY	No	0.999	80	$79.93
11:24:26	BUY	No	0.999	25	$24.98
10:11:03	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:59:23	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:47:47	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:32:47	SELL	Yes	0.001	20	$0.02
09:19:41	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
04:47:11	BUY	No	0.99	20	$19.80
04:47:11	BUY	Yes	0.01	149	$1.49
04:31:45	BUY	No	0.99	16	$16.08
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.860625	13	$11.02
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.8399999936	12	$10.48