Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-02
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.15 to 0.24. 5 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	20	20
0.25	600	620
0.48	20	640
0.59	20	660
0.72	20	680
0.87	20	700
0.91	44	744
0.94	69	813
0.96	88	900
0.97	502	1,402
0.98	3,000	4,402
0.99	10	4,412

Spread0.02Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	20	20
0.20	300	320
0.19	20	340
0.05	61	401
0.04	100	501
0.02	175	676
0.01	70	746

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	20	20
0.80	300	320
0.81	20	340
0.95	61	401
0.96	100	501
0.98	175	676
0.99	70	746

Spread0.02Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	20	20
0.75	600	620
0.52	20	640
0.41	20	660
0.28	20	680
0.13	20	700
0.09	44	744
0.06	69	813
0.04	88	900
0.03	502	1,402
0.02	3,000	4,402
0.01	10	4,412

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291	Yes	100
jazz2legs	Yes	63.32
galhammerman	No	60
GuyFromTinder	No	40
tradetosurvive1	No	20
0x3ff7…2fa2	No	20
trademaster4000	No	20
cactus-test	No	3.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:40:14	SELL	No	0.76	20	$15.20
07:40:12	BUY	Yes	0.24	80	$19.20
06:31:44	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
06:29:24	SELL	No	0.81	3	$2.68
06:17:02	BUY	Yes	0.1899999984	63	$12.03