PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. Unchanged over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.49. 7 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.189595
0.1960155
0.2611166
0.3910176
0.9820196
0.995201

Spread0.02Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.168383
0.15100183
0.0381264
0.01200464

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.848383
0.85100183
0.9781264
0.99200464

Spread0.02Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.829595
0.8160155
0.7411166
0.6110176
0.0220196
0.015201

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
jazz2legsYes64.95
aHjCzYes40
Specialist200303Yes20.48
HaradwaithYes10.1
physical-geographerNo64.95
0x3ff7…2fa2No35
0xa5ef…2966No33.1
tradetosurvive1No2.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:21:48SELLNo0.8220$16.40
09:21:47BUYYes0.1820$3.69
09:13:48SELLNo0.8220$16.40
09:13:47BUYYes0.1820$3.60
09:12:47BUYYes0.1820$3.60
08:13:51BUYNo0.875$4.44
08:13:51BUYNo0.875$4.35
08:04:57SELLYes0.155$0.75
08:04:53BUYNo0.8518$15.30
04:59:44BUYYes0.189999998365$12.34