Daddy-Xi
0xffb7d24e5521e56ec4aa221927c7b78b3099d3c0
- Realised P&L
- $3.25
- Volume
- $630.56
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.961 | $11.30 | +$1.34 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.365 | $6.51 | −$3.99 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.570 | $2.21 | +$0.56 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.725 | 0.555 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.938 | 0.946 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.019 | $0.94 | −$1.06 |
| Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.081Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$1.82at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$1.78at 0.529Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.66at 0.300Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
- +$1.60at 0.799Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 02:09 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.64 |
| 10-26 17:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9379999937 | $1.50 |
| 10-25 16:57 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.77 |
| 10-22 03:53 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.66 |
| 10-20 07:05 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 06:59 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.70 |
| 10-20 06:47 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 06:47 | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.50 |
| 10-18 15:06 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 17:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998805 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 16:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999985 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |