0xfcef1eb242228df6a9d05537495ec05601eb9499
0xfcef1eb242228df6a9d05537495ec05601eb9499
- Realised P&L
- $-20.89
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$392.91at 0.638Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$123.87at 0.572Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5
- +$90.11at 0.383Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
- +$67.86at 0.785Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$67.35at 0.602US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 03:31 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 02:55 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 02:35 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? | BUY | 0.917739924 | $121.82 |
| 10-03 02:27 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.9782644628 | $17.76 |
| 10-03 00:30 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 00:09 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 00:09 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $45.92 |
| 10-02 18:09 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $91.05 |
| 10-02 18:09 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.47 |
| 10-02 16:33 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $15.48 |
| 10-02 16:13 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.64 |
| 10-02 16:12 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.50 |
| 10-02 15:52 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999834 | $3.37 |
| 10-01 12:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.3570886533 | $158.30 |
| 10-01 01:50 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.84 |