lisra
0xfc7612db87dc5d3b234fb673eda2858f9de00ad0
- Realised P&L
- $18.7k
- Volume
- $373.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $11.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.486Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
- +$5.2kat 0.611Grok 4.20 released by February 28?
- +$2.4kat 0.849Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.787Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.874Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:35 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.7472286941 | $121.87 |
| 10-13 04:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4869215709 | $422.79 |
| 10-13 04:30 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.6314925373 | $42.31 |
| 10-10 20:05 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $103.04 |
| 10-10 19:31 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.454261356 | $439.32 |
| 10-09 17:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4146316586 | $169.92 |
| 10-09 17:46 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.508089172 | $239.31 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $93.06 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $444.93 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9308675317 | $123.40 |
| 10-09 17:44 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8533333333 | $51.20 |
| 10-09 17:44 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7988626284 | $405.27 |
| 10-09 17:44 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7650166609 | $66.58 |
| 10-09 17:44 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.672 | $16.80 |
| 10-08 17:12 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4897764129 | $443.37 |