compott
0xfbb11da1c205aa234f84d2a7e09b230ca9dcbd66
- Realised P&L
- $-768.45
- Volume
- $32.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,576
- Open portfolio
- $134.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,576
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.240 | 0.265 | $91.89 | +$8.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 27? · No | 0.940 | 0.990 | $14.36 | +$0.72 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on September 25? · No | 0.820 | 0.985 | $13.30 | +$2.23 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.245 | $12.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.013 | $2.24 | −$1.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.72at 0.654Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
- +$18.09at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$16.88at 0.601Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$13.71at 0.522Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5
- +$13.24at 0.430Panthers vs. Islanders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:27 | Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.9887089474 | $37.57 |
| 09-25 04:27 | Will A'ja Wilson have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.981 | $21.09 |
| 09-23 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.74 | $10.36 |
| 09-21 14:28 | Will A'ja Wilson have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.78 |
| 09-21 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | SELL | 0.55 | $10.56 |
| 09-21 10:52 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.3754545455 | $20.65 |
| 09-20 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.61 |
| 09-19 04:03 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.1817117117 | $20.17 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.18 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.704 | $9.68 |
| 09-18 11:13 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.34 |
| 09-16 14:37 | Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.717 | $9.86 |
| 09-16 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.8599999736 | $2.61 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.91 | $34.58 |
| 09-16 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.96 | $10.66 |