PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb7974b000913cd31b03643bc3d6ddfa7501d0c3

Realised P&L
$-44.13
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$192.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No0.7300.755$41.37+$1.37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7600.735$29.37$0.99
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.445$22.09$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes0.1050.075$20.23$8.10
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.1620.165$20.20+$0.32
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · Yes0.5020.410$13.67$3.06
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · No0.8200.835$10.19+$0.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.920$10.00+$0.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4300.395$9.19$0.81
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2890.195$6.82$3.30
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? · Yes0.4700.455$4.29$0.14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1120.066$3.04$2.13
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2200.222$1.99+$0.02
Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes · Inaki Montes0.2470.000$0.00$3.70
Guadalajara Open Akron: Elsa Jacquemot vs Liudmila Samsonova · Elsa Jacquemot0.1300.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?SELL0.575952381$96.76
09-16 21:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$5.60
09-16 21:24Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?SELL0.9229411765$15.69
09-16 21:24Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.26$15.86
09-16 21:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$47.94
09-16 05:38Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?SELL0.25$20.00
09-16 05:31Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$4.97
09-15 23:36Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.09$4.95
09-15 23:36Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.44$5.28
09-15 19:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.93$5.58
09-15 19:51Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$24.08
09-15 19:51Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?SELL0.52$12.48
09-15 18:50Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?SELL0.97$4.85
09-15 14:55Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.73$14.60
09-15 14:55Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.26$16.90