0xfb7974b000913cd31b03643bc3d6ddfa7501d0c3
- Realised P&L
- $-44.13
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $192.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.03at 0.120San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$89.17at 0.559Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$60.00at 0.200Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$39.90at 0.020New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$33.29at 0.231Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.575952381 | $96.76 |
| 09-16 21:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 21:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | SELL | 0.9229411765 | $15.69 |
| 09-16 21:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $15.86 |
| 09-16 21:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.94 |
| 09-16 05:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | SELL | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 05:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.97 |
| 09-15 23:36 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.95 |
| 09-15 23:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.28 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $24.08 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.52 | $12.48 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $16.90 |