PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qwertyyyy

0xfb5a201b15ac235858e69adcc12aa80e50b48008

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$76.8k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.915$274.50+$55.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5900.855$256.50+$79.50
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9000.961$223.48+$14.14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4670.487$146.25+$6.25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.959$95.85+$11.85
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9000.925$92.50+$2.50
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9100.987$30.40+$2.38
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? · No0.6950.860$17.20+$3.30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.8000.625$16.25$4.55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2900.160$15.95$13.05
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.125$5.00$1.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0500.026$4.10$3.78
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1190.061$1.76$1.67
Raptors vs. Bucks · Bucks0.3760.000$0.00$5.00
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.0960.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:12Packers vs. VikingsBUY0.5599999999$500.00
09-09 06:29LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.11$33.00
09-09 06:27LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.72$51.59
09-09 06:22LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.26$78.00
09-09 06:22LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.51$523.18
08-29 17:36Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)BUY0.33$9.85
08-29 02:59MIN vs. DEN: O/U 37.5SELL0.36$70.59
08-28 23:45MIN vs. DEN: O/U 37.5BUY0.5099999985$100.00
08-28 23:41Vikings vs. BroncosBUY0.36$360.00
08-28 01:44Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertySELL0.99$198.00
08-28 01:01Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertySELL0.79$39.50
08-27 23:36Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyBUY0.42$105.00
07-06 19:09Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.28$210.00
07-01 17:39Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.58$57.99
06-25 19:39Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4199999977$100.00