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0xfb5a201b15ac235858e69adcc12aa80e50b48008
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$572.39at 0.333Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$496.60at 0.500Vikings vs. Bears
- +$484.72at 0.527LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$479.99at 0.040Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$381.86at 0.572Packers vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:12 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 06:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 09-09 06:27 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $51.59 |
| 09-09 06:22 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $78.00 |
| 09-09 06:22 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.51 | $523.18 |
| 08-29 17:36 | Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $9.85 |
| 08-29 02:59 | MIN vs. DEN: O/U 37.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $70.59 |
| 08-28 23:45 | MIN vs. DEN: O/U 37.5 | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 23:41 | Vikings vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.36 | $360.00 |
| 08-28 01:44 | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 08-28 01:01 | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 08-27 23:36 | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.42 | $105.00 |
| 07-06 19:09 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $210.00 |
| 07-01 17:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.58 | $57.99 |
| 06-25 19:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |