PolyBot

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Traders

0xf9d969bd75d0ee5e76acb2102a9bbc0efb431ff9

0xf9d969bd75d0ee5e76acb2102a9bbc0efb431ff9

Realised P&L
$198.81
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7250.745$862.46+$23.37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6580.715$810.19+$64.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4610.640$536.10+$149.60
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6960.705$417.05+$5.04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1900.125$197.37−$102.63
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? · Yes0.3300.355$78.10+$5.50
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.315$63.00−$3.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1640.154$36.53−$2.32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0900.065$35.75−$13.75
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0440.036$21.90−$4.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0350.034$20.40−$0.60
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his rally in North Carolina? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$20.00
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5300.000$0.00−$110.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$200.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:01Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$173.76
11-01 19:00Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.71$177.50
11-01 18:572026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$278.01
11-01 18:56Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.8$282.73
11-01 18:54Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.73$626.10
11-01 18:52Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$641.15
10-31 06:05Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.166$5.98
10-31 06:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.164$32.87
10-31 05:51Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.044$26.40
10-31 05:50US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.035$21.00
10-31 05:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.09$49.50
10-31 05:23Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?BUY0.33$72.60
10-31 05:21Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.4066625803$163.87
10-30 00:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6681239361$88.00
10-30 00:48Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.88$132.00