0xf9d969bd75d0ee5e76acb2102a9bbc0efb431ff9
0xf9d969bd75d0ee5e76acb2102a9bbc0efb431ff9
- Realised P&L
- $198.81
- Volume
- $40.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$417.78at 0.208US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$311.19at 0.491US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
- +$255.84at 0.026Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$252.43at 0.070US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$233.33at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $173.76 |
| 11-01 19:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $177.50 |
| 11-01 18:57 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $278.01 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $282.73 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $626.10 |
| 11-01 18:52 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $641.15 |
| 10-31 06:05 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.166 | $5.98 |
| 10-31 06:04 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.164 | $32.87 |
| 10-31 05:51 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $26.40 |
| 10-31 05:50 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.035 | $21.00 |
| 10-31 05:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $49.50 |
| 10-31 05:23 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $72.60 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4066625803 | $163.87 |
| 10-30 00:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6681239361 | $88.00 |
| 10-30 00:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $132.00 |