PolyBot

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Traders

0xf9cf9d5514b43e540e8fb2de2c53d8bb56f7009e

0xf9cf9d5514b43e540e8fb2de2c53d8bb56f7009e

Realised P&L
$0.75
Volume
$343.52
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$10.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$2.89+$1.36
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · No0.4900.780$1.59+$0.59
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.2500.365$1.46+$0.46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.3500.475$1.36+$0.36
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? · Yes0.5300.710$1.34+$0.34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.7300.885$1.21+$0.21
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? · No0.7200.700$0.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 19:41Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-27 09:40Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-27 01:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-26 15:13Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-26 07:12Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-25 20:58Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-23 10:39Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$2.00
09-23 02:36Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-20 17:26Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.75$2.00
09-20 04:06Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-18 18:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-18 07:54Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-17 10:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-17 10:48Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-12 17:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.4099999816$2.00