Tomas7777
0xf9c011f7b67d07b035aed2d86d8572e0328262b2
- Realised P&L
- $-232.36
- Volume
- $623.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,066
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,066
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.56at 0.580Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$153.92at 0.985U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$126.80at 0.997Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$103.74at 0.998Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
- +$99.75at 0.964Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 21:58 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-04 21:29 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 22:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $295.80 |
| 10-03 22:13 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $375.18 |
| 10-03 11:44 | Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 21:58 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 10-01 21:58 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-01 21:57 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-01 20:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $0.36 |
| 10-01 19:42 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 10-01 13:17 | Mali leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-01 13:16 | Tunisia leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Tunisia leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.9867589641 | $19.81 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Mali leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.9849821429 | $11.03 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Tunisia vs. Mali: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.9881079393 | $33.23 |