PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Tomas7777

0xf9c011f7b67d07b035aed2d86d8572e0328262b2

Realised P&L
$-232.36
Volume
$623.1k
Markets traded
1,066
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,066
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9620.960$383.80−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9860.987$295.95+$0.15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9700.971$246.01+$0.13
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9300.905$181.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.8300.815$163.00−$3.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3600.580$81.13+$30.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · No0.9610.957$47.83−$0.23
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.957$47.83+$1.32
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$47.75+$1.75
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$47.75+$1.25
Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-08-02? · Yes0.3680.235$42.96−$24.40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7800.785$39.25+$0.25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.445$22.25+$1.25
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-02? · Yes0.4480.510$18.06+$2.21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4730.438$13.13−$1.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 21:58LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$49.95
10-04 21:29LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5$5.00
10-03 22:16Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.986$295.80
10-03 22:13Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.962$375.18
10-03 11:44Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?SELL0.06$6.00
10-01 21:58Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
10-01 21:58Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$46.50
10-01 21:57Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$46.50
10-01 20:16Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.78$0.36
10-01 19:42Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$21.00
10-01 13:17Mali leading at halftime?BUY0.99$14.85
10-01 13:16Tunisia leading at halftime?BUY0.99$14.85
10-01 13:15Tunisia leading at halftime?BUY0.9867589641$19.81
10-01 13:15Mali leading at halftime?BUY0.9849821429$11.03
10-01 13:15Tunisia vs. Mali: Draw at halftime?BUY0.9881079393$33.23