0xf9959f5dd04de7e772db994c508ad93c7ff711a9
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? · No | 0.160 | 0.155 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.365 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.051 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.005 | $0.39 | −$9.61 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$9.93 |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.80at 0.593Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
- +$14.97at 0.481Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
- +$1.93at 0.582Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:21 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0619999971 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:12 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.0693169504 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:39 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:38 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:28 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 16:26 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.81 | $7.10 |
| 11-01 15:35 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $46.30 |
| 11-01 15:27 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |