Tezcatlipoca
0xf9498093a96e54a72c56aa5c2a24ca573ad980e0
- Realised P&L
- $284.68
- Volume
- $45.7k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $371.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.52at 0.543Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$43.20at 0.590US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$38.24at 0.440Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$35.29at 0.294Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?
- +$34.73at 0.804Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.574 | $5.74 |
| 09-13 17:10 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-13 17:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.10 |
| 09-11 11:27 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $14.40 |
| 09-11 11:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 09-11 11:14 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.53 |
| 09-10 13:46 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.76 |
| 09-10 13:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.75 |
| 09-10 13:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.097 | $16.49 |
| 09-10 07:08 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 09-02 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-01 19:15 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $18.00 |
| 09-01 19:15 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.16 |
| 09-01 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-01 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |