Tezcatlipoca
0xf9498093a96e54a72c56aa5c2a24ca573ad980e0
- Realised P&L
- $412.38
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $155.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.52at 0.543Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$43.20at 0.590US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$38.24at 0.440Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$35.29at 0.294Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?
- +$34.73at 0.804Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 23:07 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-27 09:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $23.41 |
| 10-23 20:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 10-23 19:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $116.16 |
| 10-23 18:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $111.21 |
| 09-26 19:35 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $13.65 |
| 09-26 19:32 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.74 |
| 09-26 19:31 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.43 |
| 09-26 19:31 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.57 |
| 09-26 19:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.807712 | $20.19 |
| 09-26 19:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $53.81 |
| 09-25 11:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-25 11:03 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 09-23 12:09 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.26 |
| 09-23 12:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |