PolyBot

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Traders

Tezcatlipoca

0xf9498093a96e54a72c56aa5c2a24ca573ad980e0

Realised P&L
$284.68
Volume
$45.7k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$371.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.255$126.04+$56.84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1900.205$51.25+$3.75
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No0.7300.860$34.40+$5.20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1060.065$31.57$20.07
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.245$29.40+$15.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No0.6900.800$23.30+$3.20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1660.165$16.50$0.10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2490.235$15.28$0.92
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.0790.053$12.84$6.16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.7600.855$8.55+$0.95
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0010.002$7.50+$2.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No0.5740.584$5.84+$0.10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0970.032$5.36$11.13
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.047$3.44+$1.68
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · Yes0.0250.004$0.35$2.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 11:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.574$5.74
09-13 17:10Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.66$6.60
09-13 17:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.69$20.10
09-11 11:27Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$14.40
09-11 11:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.81$48.60
09-11 11:14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.035$0.53
09-10 13:46Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.024$1.76
09-10 13:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.015$0.75
09-10 13:21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.097$16.49
09-10 07:080 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.73$29.20
09-02 07:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2?SELL0.001$0.01
09-01 19:15Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.1$18.00
09-01 19:15Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.36$2.16
09-01 09:22Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2?SELL0.38$1.90
09-01 09:22Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2?BUY0.39$1.95