PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF8Dda4Ef34092747edFcb7780760440CED2D3807-1773173995393

0xf8dda4ef34092747edfcb7780760440ced2d3807

Realised P&L
$-66.02
Volume
$656.79
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$151.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.785$17.89−$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.835$14.56−$0.44
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7600.735$14.51−$0.49
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? · No0.5700.675$11.84+$1.84
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? · No0.8290.909$10.97+$0.97
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$10.05+$0.05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.8320.835$6.02+$0.02
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.740$6.00+$0.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.6500.695$5.35+$0.35
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.9000.885$4.92−$0.08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.910$4.89−$0.11
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? · Yes0.5300.510$4.81−$0.19
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026? · No0.7500.700$4.67−$0.33
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.715$4.47−$0.53
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.435$4.18−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:42Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
10-08 13:40Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?SELL0.999$5.87
10-07 12:06Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-07 12:06Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
10-06 17:39Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-06 17:39Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?BUY0.439999956$2.00
10-06 17:33US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
10-06 17:24Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-06 17:23Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.84$2.00
10-06 17:22Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?BUY0.439999956$2.00
10-06 17:15Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.5099999949$3.00
10-06 17:03Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4769998996$2.00
10-06 16:54Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-06 16:50Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?BUY0.7$1.00
10-06 00:59Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.1799999856$2.00