PolyBot

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Traders

thesandman

0xf87bfd6edd5826aa45299f33e355e1a8f8d9180a

Realised P&L
$-30.9k
Volume
$813.9k
Markets traded
1,058
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,058
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8510.875$1.3k+$36.10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6750.665$398.95$5.76
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3720.480$337.47+$75.81
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8800.995$298.50+$34.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5640.775$251.12+$68.22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3580.305$248.67$43.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3740.400$199.70+$12.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.4990.915$183.00+$83.20
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7850.870$168.42+$16.36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.745$148.62$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1520.165$139.59+$11.31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1910.080$104.86$146.99
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9240.903$92.76$2.10
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.1140.125$83.21+$7.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4200.405$81.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.009$2.86
09-17 12:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$183.92
09-16 23:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.01$2.14
09-16 18:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$3.00
09-16 18:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.05$15.00
09-16 08:202026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.42$84.00
09-15 12:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$62.72
09-15 12:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.65$32.50
09-14 21:51NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$19.50
09-14 21:51NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$90.05
09-14 21:51NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$40.07
09-14 18:27U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.28$12.60
09-14 18:27U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.28$5.60
09-14 17:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.62$32.20
09-14 15:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37$19.61