thesandman
0xf87bfd6edd5826aa45299f33e355e1a8f8d9180a
- Realised P&L
- $-30.9k
- Volume
- $813.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,058
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,058
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.296Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?
- +$1.4kat 0.373Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?
- +$1.2kat 0.33576ers vs. Knicks
- +$1.2kat 0.200Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.86 |
| 09-17 12:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $183.92 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.14 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 08:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 09-15 12:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $62.72 |
| 09-15 12:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 09-14 21:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.50 |
| 09-14 21:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $90.05 |
| 09-14 21:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $40.07 |
| 09-14 18:27 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $12.60 |
| 09-14 18:27 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-14 17:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $32.20 |
| 09-14 15:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $19.61 |