PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF85fD4Cb2E375793439D52E4395A83ccF51FABff-1775783770547

0xf85fd4cb2e375793439d52e4395a83ccf51fabff

Realised P&L
$1.44
Volume
$804.01
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$29.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.567$11.34+$6.34
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3950.512$6.49+$1.49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1920.221$5.74+$0.74
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2710.160$2.94$2.06
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison? · Yes0.0470.071$1.51+$0.51
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.1300.025$0.98$4.02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.021$0.54$5.46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0990.029$0.29$0.71
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · No0.0460.000$0.00$10.00
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens0.3600.000$0.00$5.00
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 · Under0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 23:05Canadiens vs. HurricanesBUY0.359999977$5.00
05-22 23:56Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5BUY0.4599999595$5.00
05-20 23:12Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5BUY0.4599999595$5.00
05-20 02:16Canadiens vs. HurricanesBUY0.3699999674$5.00
05-16 22:13Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5BUY0.5399999654$5.00
05-14 13:59Canadiens vs. SabresBUY0.4899999804$5.00
05-14 00:16Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.5399999654$5.00
05-12 12:54Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5BUY0.5399999903$10.00
05-10 22:24Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5BUY0.4399999648$5.00
05-08 19:35Canadiens vs. SabresBUY0.4599999844$10.00
05-08 01:32Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
05-07 23:59Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
05-07 23:56Hurricanes vs. FlyersBUY0.3899999774$5.00
05-05 20:00Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5BUY0.529999965$5.00
05-05 17:13Canadiens vs. SabresBUY0.4599999595$5.00