0xf600ce2619ac3342d1427d574243a2442e618836
0xf600ce2619ac3342d1427d574243a2442e618836
- Realised P&L
- $-107.66
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $161.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.947S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?
- +$1.24at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?
- +$1.10at 0.932Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Lehecka
- +$1.02at 0.911Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund
- +$0.91at 0.956Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:05 | Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.928999996 | $4.65 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.9669999988 | $4.83 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.76 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-31 22:32 | Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.9519998483 | $4.77 |
| 10-31 22:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 10-31 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-31 22:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9189999841 | $4.61 |
| 10-30 19:52 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-29 22:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.486 | $2.43 |
| 10-29 20:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.651 | $3.25 |
| 10-29 08:43 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.581 | $2.90 |
| 10-28 20:02 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.958 | $4.79 |
| 10-28 20:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-28 20:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9639999992 | $4.83 |