0xf3f1825104c28485ace83d1f446f5b1009c5e70f
- Realised P&L
- $18.00
- Volume
- $144.09
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $29.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.330Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$2.17at 0.480Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$2.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.480Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:33 | Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:28 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 08:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 00:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 16:27 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 08:25 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 00:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 01:26 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |