PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-07
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.07 to 0.20. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20538538
0.211,0051,544
0.225152,058
0.238112,869
0.243263,194
0.252163,411
0.262113,622
0.272923,914
0.282344,148
0.291764,324
0.306264,950
0.311765,126

Spread0.01Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.191,0781,078
0.182611,339
0.173891,728
0.161,0442,772
0.155953,367
0.148484,216
0.132894,505
0.121014,606
0.111,1215,727
0.101,8317,557
0.091207,677
0.08757,752

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.811,0781,078
0.822611,339
0.833891,728
0.841,0442,772
0.855953,367
0.868484,216
0.872894,505
0.881014,606
0.891,1215,727
0.901,8317,557
0.911207,677
0.92757,752

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80538538
0.791,0051,544
0.785152,058
0.778112,869
0.763263,194
0.752163,411
0.742113,622
0.732923,914
0.722344,148
0.711764,324
0.706264,950
0.691765,126

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
JasonzzYes10,000
smalltimezzzYes5,685.64
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
Kaiji123Yes4,919
PrexpectYes4,062.57
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,200
Bobi-BeebsYes2,731.4
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,600
LuckyMANNNYes1,900
Mac-GyverYes1,895
shotsrYes1,600
hetaczYes1,500.02
PoiuztrewqYes1,400.3
387411007415611814092217897387Yes1,343.92
0x9b257ead1a6240d4ab5c2ae0253Yes1,126.43
ThreepeeoYes950
0xFd67277Fa638e39eaE6Yes900
oxhrvnqpslitnzajurflmxkduvbnweuYes872.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:05:23BUYNo0.8150$40.50
03:02:00BUYYes0.225$5.00
02:55:38BUYYes0.25$1.00
02:51:26BUYNo0.8150$40.50
02:51:14BUYNo0.8150$40.50
02:44:32SELLYes0.199$1.74
02:03:35BUYYes0.25$1.00
01:23:53BUYNo0.809999997762$50.00
01:21:03SELLYes0.19200$38.00
01:07:56BUYYes0.25$1.00
01:00:32BUYNo0.809999997762$50.00
00:53:18BUYYes0.231$6.23
00:52:26BUYYes0.2156$31.24
00:48:47BUYYes0.265$12.95
00:46:50BUYYes0.246$9.25
00:42:06BUYYes0.1947466667120$23.37
00:36:24BUYYes0.1970$13.30
00:19:30SELLNo0.816$4.86
23:49:14BUYYes0.1899999975263$50.00
23:38:12SELLNo0.816$4.86
23:32:17BUYYes0.1930$5.70
23:19:53BUYYes0.189999956916$3.00
23:02:48SELLYes0.1826$4.68
22:47:41SELLYes0.1820$3.60
22:47:09SELLNo0.816$4.86