PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Yiren

0xf3ea14a549363509176e6fc6df9cd511706a3039

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$102.1k
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.895$1.3k+$35.95
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9270.960$747.47+$25.47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6030.805$109.86+$27.52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.981$85.11+$8.67
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7370.685$37.16−$2.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes0.7000.575$24.64−$5.36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.8400.915$21.79+$1.79
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4440.299$20.22−$9.78
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.460$16.05−$13.95
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7700.295$11.49−$18.51
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.900$11.25+$1.25
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.026$0.22−$4.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Up0.3940.000$0.00−$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3540.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSELL0.93$27.17
10-13 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.7699999992$30.00
10-13 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-13 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-13 06:32LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.95$120.00
10-13 06:32NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?SELL0.988728574$110.52
10-13 03:08Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
10-12 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.6199998946$2.00
10-12 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-12 04:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.839999995$20.00
10-12 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.96$5.00
10-12 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.75$5.00
10-12 04:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.629999995$5.00
10-11 16:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.839999995$20.00
10-11 16:47Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$30.00