PolyBot

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Traders

Username1212888

0xf2e4b0e8d904addfd57ca9938d80f6fa2f2a1660

Realised P&L
$-357.10
Volume
$169.8k
Markets traded
505
Open portfolio
$32.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded505
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2400.155$6.46$3.54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.221$4.08$0.92
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2700.160$2.95$2.05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0890.028$2.83$6.17
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0390.019$2.50$2.50
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3800.165$2.17$2.83
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.065$2.03$2.97
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · Yes0.1200.061$1.54$1.46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1500.075$1.50$1.50
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.1400.180$1.29+$0.29
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0700.025$1.09$1.91
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.046$0.52$0.48
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.1500.066$0.44$0.56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$0.41$0.59
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3800.145$0.38$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.04$3.20
08-21 20:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.05$4.00
08-01 17:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.006999993$1.00
07-26 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.229999916$2.00
07-26 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-13 19:33England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5524999434$3.00
07-13 19:33France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999796$3.00
07-12 10:54Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.144$7.20
06-17 13:50Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
06-17 13:50Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-17 13:49Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-17 13:49Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-17 13:49Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-17 13:49Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-17 13:49Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?BUY0.048999954$1.00