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Traders

0xF2B05d854E0aF18E70B76e96534E2e7F7A04b26b-1750278413305

0xf2b05d854e0af18e70b76e96534e2e7f7a04b26b

Realised P&L
$-18.4k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$30.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7830.865$10.2k+$967.05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7890.945$9.4k+$1.5k
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7740.945$3.1k+$558.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9701.000$2.7k+$79.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9070.969$1.5k+$96.15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.8600.935$935.00+$75.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.9470.999$499.25+$25.85
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.970$385.28+$19.69
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8510.875$349.80+$9.30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.925$301.28+$11.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9470.974$243.38+$6.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.958$191.50+$5.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes0.8700.875$105.00+$0.60
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9500.970$96.95+$1.95
Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31? · No0.9400.947$94.70+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 19:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.87$104.40
09-29 16:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.975$97.50
09-29 16:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.974$63.80
09-29 16:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.973$30.26
09-29 16:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.972$97.20
09-29 16:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.971$58.78
09-29 16:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.97$5.11
09-29 16:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.969$41.75
09-27 19:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.07$7.00
09-27 19:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.08$8.00
09-27 19:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.957$95.70
09-27 19:25Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.76$7.60
09-26 18:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$420.00
09-26 18:10US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.962$252.04
09-26 18:09Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.97$97.00
Trader 0xF2B05d854E0aF18E70B76e96534E2e7F7A04b26b-1750278413305 · PolyBot Pro