PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

T1m3chaser

0xf1e2182f193f21b3a9d237224c67894796c40bd8

Realised P&L
$360.05
Volume
$35.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$523.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1600.125$252.71$70.76
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0890.095$103.00+$6.00
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.095$41.56+$6.56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$33.00+$3.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0210.026$25.24+$5.24
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes0.0400.035$17.53$2.47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$15.71$4.29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.125$14.71$5.29
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? · Yes0.1190.066$11.09$8.91
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0480.044$9.20$0.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$24.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.1030.000$0.00$52.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.0540.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.2080.000$0.00$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.16$2.00
09-16 18:14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.16$321.47
09-16 15:11Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.15$45.15
09-16 15:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?SELL0.108$129.28
09-16 15:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.1030178939$172.71
09-15 16:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0802762522$77.00
09-15 16:46Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.0168638796$80.13
09-07 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.25$24.16
09-07 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.1734772496$25.00
09-07 09:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.25$5.00
09-07 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.25$25.00
09-07 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.054635852$5.00
09-07 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.1399999956$25.00
09-07 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSELL0.88$59.45
09-07 09:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.3699999938$25.00