PolyBot

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Traders

Le-bron

0xf17101255c04271ad62c28a7a6ae1e1e2ad2398d

Realised P&L
$-104.46
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5500.775$697.50+$202.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.790$560.90+$56.80
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4800.415$435.75−$68.25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.195$331.50−$484.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.165$143.61−$343.79
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3000.170$30.54−$23.35
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$8.40
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$355.90
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$100.00
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$80.00
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? · No0.2240.000$0.00−$112.00
OpenAI social app in 2025? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:15NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$161.11
09-01 17:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.56$487.40
06-25 13:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.87011$87.01
06-25 13:00Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.9816912135$260.88
06-25 12:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.36$522.72
06-15 14:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.34$17.68
06-15 11:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.39$351.00
06-15 11:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.39$195.00
05-23 19:07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.9650870019$166.39
05-11 11:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.6$60.00
04-05 17:36Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2110135302$100.00
03-21 20:57Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.5644365364$150.00
03-02 09:17Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
02-24 22:09Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.4$100.00
02-20 19:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.938$169.81