Aleksei-Ivanovich
0xf0eec63e9e05cdd98d23e9cd021a749e4fcc4b33
- Realised P&L
- $-254.08
- Volume
- $346.0k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $17.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$547.02at 0.715Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
- +$546.69at 0.107Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$389.26at 0.781Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
- +$309.81at 0.867Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$280.06at 0.384Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:30 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $125.28 |
| 09-16 05:10 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.97 | $25.22 |
| 09-16 05:06 | Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September? | BUY | 0.87 | $65.25 |
| 09-16 05:01 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.96 | $16.40 |
| 09-16 05:01 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $94.30 |
| 09-16 05:00 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $37.38 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $104.37 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 15:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $31.97 |
| 09-15 15:08 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $89.21 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $86.80 |
| 09-15 15:06 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.31 |
| 09-12 18:06 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.75 | $120.00 |