PolyBot

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Traders

Aleksei-Ivanovich

0xf0eec63e9e05cdd98d23e9cd021a749e4fcc4b33

Realised P&L
$-254.08
Volume
$346.0k
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$17.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No0.4400.850$2.2k+$1.1k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8190.725$1.3k$169.31
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · No0.7960.905$1.2k+$147.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7950.835$1.0k+$48.28
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.8060.855$760.71+$43.79
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.7170.835$752.23+$106.44
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6050.815$586.76+$151.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8110.940$573.40+$78.70
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$553.58+$27.23
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.7800.925$511.99+$80.26
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6650.875$369.86+$88.56
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.6300.735$367.49+$52.50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.6510.925$339.16+$100.37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · No0.6420.530$310.70$65.65
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? · No0.9600.984$295.20+$7.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:30Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.58$125.28
09-16 05:10Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.97$25.22
09-16 05:06Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?BUY0.87$65.25
09-16 05:01Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.96$16.40
09-16 05:01Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.96$94.30
09-16 05:00Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$37.38
09-15 15:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.71$104.37
09-15 15:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.7$21.00
09-15 15:09S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.95$31.97
09-15 15:08Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.75$200.00
09-15 15:07Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.9$18.00
09-15 15:07Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.9$89.21
09-15 15:07Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.62$86.80
09-15 15:06Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.61$18.31
09-12 18:06Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.75$120.00