0xEfe72c50171FcF0eB516a301E62cFE8e4631A709-1761344048643
0xefe72c50171fcf0eb516a301e62cfe8e4631a709
- Realised P&L
- $-807.00
- Volume
- $55.8k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $118.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.16at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 30?
- +$68.68at 0.258Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
- +$52.45at 0.577Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$29.11at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?
- +$26.63at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:39 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 10:33 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0213592647 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 10:33 | Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 10:32 | Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 10:30 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 10:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 21:02 | Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.1849999797 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.948 | $54.00 |
| 10-16 04:16 | SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:15 | Google announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.0728201245 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 04:15 | OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.0715686271 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 04:15 | Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 12:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |