PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rndntz

0xef43652e86fd9e186778b6940bff286f36ac7b62

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$391.1k
Markets traded
283
Open portfolio
$66.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded283
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? · Yes0.1000.080$24.00−$6.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$23.25−$0.75
Plague pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0600.042$8.40−$3.60
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$5.50−$1.50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.030$3.56−$8.44
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.1100.025$1.23−$4.28
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.1400.038$0.27−$0.73
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$50.00
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$25.09
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$2.00
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$46.02
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:37NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$48.30
10-05 22:36Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$41.65
10-05 22:36Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.022$16.96
08-12 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.4463840844$1.00
08-12 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.88$2.00
08-12 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-12 23:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.8099999757$1.00
08-12 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.75$1.00
08-12 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.75$1.00
08-12 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.75$1.00
08-12 23:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
08-12 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.5699998233$1.00
08-12 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-12 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-12 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00