PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

snaf6440

0xef29d6c5c2386968b1385c63f4b1dfc934b75f83

Realised P&L
$-9.46
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$14.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Republican House odds dip to 8% by October 31? · No0.0190.068$3.55+$2.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? · Yes0.0130.011$1.67−$0.33
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$1.25+$0.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.245$1.23+$0.23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0310.029$0.95−$0.05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0340.032$0.93−$0.07
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92−$0.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0360.033$0.90−$0.10
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.0290.025$0.88−$0.12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.003$0.83−$0.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in October? · Yes0.0100.007$0.73−$0.27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0140.009$0.68−$0.32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 17:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?BUY0.010858835$1.00
09-30 17:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
09-30 17:41Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0339999997$1.00
09-30 17:40Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.0289999997$1.00
09-28 20:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?BUY0.0149999999$1.00
09-28 20:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in October?BUY0.0102616727$1.00
09-28 20:24Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in September?BUY0.0071880965$1.00
09-28 20:22Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?BUY0.0306736319$1.00
09-28 20:19Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?BUY0.006$1.00
09-28 20:18Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on September 29?BUY0.1989999853$1.00
09-28 20:14Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
09-28 19:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-28 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-28 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSELL0.67$1.86
09-28 19:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00