Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-21
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.13 to 0.21. 8 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	298	298
0.23	385	683
0.24	239	921
0.25	526	1,447
0.26	970	2,417
0.27	116	2,533
0.28	838	3,371
0.29	254	3,625
0.30	85	3,710
0.31	145	3,855
0.32	300	4,155
0.37	25	4,180

Spread0.02Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	17	17
0.19	324	341
0.18	210	551
0.17	456	1,007
0.16	300	1,307
0.15	160	1,467
0.14	500	1,967
0.08	100	2,067
0.07	100	2,167
0.05	410	2,577
0.04	50	2,627
0.03	100	2,727

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	17	17
0.81	324	341
0.82	210	551
0.83	456	1,007
0.84	300	1,307
0.85	160	1,467
0.86	500	1,967
0.92	100	2,067
0.93	100	2,167
0.95	410	2,577
0.96	50	2,627
0.97	100	2,727

Spread0.02Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	298	298
0.77	385	683
0.76	239	921
0.75	526	1,447
0.74	970	2,417
0.73	116	2,533
0.72	838	3,371
0.71	254	3,625
0.70	85	3,710
0.69	145	3,855
0.68	300	4,155
0.63	25	4,180

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	2,000
mqpcd	Yes	300
oboltusovao	Yes	75
smalltimezzz	Yes	65.54
whereismymoney	Yes	29.79
WanderingPanda	Yes	15
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,485.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:21:22	BUY	Yes	0.2097333333	300	$62.92
17:13:37	SELL	Yes	0.14	6	$0.84
17:13:34	BUY	No	0.86	6	$5.16
17:05:12	SELL	No	0.85	3	$2.55
17:05:06	BUY	Yes	0.14	13	$1.82
17:02:34	BUY	No	0.89	5	$4.45
17:02:34	BUY	No	0.89	5	$4.45