sippingdrank
0xece740d3b31bd6bcae4e4236fac92ebe1dbb3673
- Realised P&L
- $8.1k
- Volume
- $674.6k
- Markets traded
- 848
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded848
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$616.49at 0.835US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$357.74at 0.751Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$306.74at 0.794Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$288.15at 0.853Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:16 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.834 | $173.19 |
| 09-17 05:18 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.834 | $455.81 |
| 09-16 22:00 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.834 | $10.84 |
| 09-16 19:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 09-15 12:05 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $921.73 |
| 09-13 18:29 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-13 18:29 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 09-13 17:21 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $327.81 |
| 09-13 17:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $240.00 |
| 09-12 21:50 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $408.09 |
| 09-12 21:13 | Will MrBeast hit 140.5 billion views by September 30? | BUY | 0.9968035651 | $27.96 |
| 09-10 12:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.72 | $180.00 |
| 09-10 12:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.72 | $145.63 |
| 09-09 20:25 | Will MrBeast hit 526 million subscribers by September 30? | BUY | 0.9785207101 | $33.07 |
| 09-08 22:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.95 |