0x2048
0xecc8b1562f4a521d0856e3f89c5bfa8bba969335
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $841.9k
- Markets traded
- 11,026
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,026
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.25at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?
- +$57.20at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$56.80at 0.369Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12AM ET
- +$50.78at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?
- +$49.99at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.72 |
| 08-04 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 08-04 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $119.76 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.978 | $29.34 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $8.28 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.69 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 08-04 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 08-04 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.51 |
| 08-04 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0455555556 | $1.06 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.4725 | $4.72 |
| 08-04 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.57 |