PolyBot

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Traders

0x2048

0xecc8b1562f4a521d0856e3f89c5bfa8bba969335

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$841.9k
Markets traded
11,026
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,026
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:12Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.71$7.10
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.4$1.00
08-04 14:41Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 5?SELL0.998$40.72
08-04 14:41Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.999$79.92
08-04 14:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 5?SELL0.998$119.76
08-04 14:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?BUY0.978$29.34
08-04 13:02Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.2$1.60
08-04 12:21Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4?BUY0.46$8.28
08-04 11:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4?BUY0.77$6.69
08-04 11:22Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.34$2.72
08-04 11:12Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.32$2.24
08-04 10:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.31$2.51
08-04 10:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.0455555556$1.06
08-04 10:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?SELL0.4725$4.72
08-04 10:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4?BUY0.038$0.57