xiangtan
0xec126b4113f8c24881c3042fc871713aa39f3f48
- Realised P&L
- $-44.56
- Volume
- $652.85
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $32.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.73at 0.445Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$7.99at 0.929Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$1.88at 0.347Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$1.38at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$0.94at 0.991Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 04:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 13:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8649999827 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 13:27 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:10 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:09 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8369999821 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999395 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 02:46 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7019999702 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 02:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 02:44 | Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 17:27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.994 | $40.00 |
| 06-05 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 13:08 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 13:08 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 13:04 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 13:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $5.00 |