PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeBCd4506042F2Acc7560e14f98643A5c8De77782-1765197130783

0xebcd4506042f2acc7560e14f98643a5c8de77782

Realised P&L
$-1.18
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$66.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3210.320$19.95$0.05
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1480.066$11.13$13.87
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9160.974$9.73+$0.57
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9500.969$9.69+$0.18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8200.885$5.40+$0.40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.052$5.20$4.80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.385$4.81$0.19
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.015$0.48$4.52
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0540.001$0.03$3.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 20:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.886999991$5.00
05-14 09:57Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.021$0.81
05-13 22:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.85$10.36
05-13 22:00Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.1103077408$22.76
05-09 11:39Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.916$9.16
04-21 22:40Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.054527429$15.00
04-21 22:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.405$5.03
04-18 12:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.84$5.59
04-16 15:17Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8199999836$5.00
04-16 15:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$5.00
04-16 15:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4019999825$5.00
04-16 15:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7499998875$5.00
03-19 00:42Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8199999672$10.00
02-04 02:17Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.32078699$20.00
02-04 02:17Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.3$3.85