0xEbBd331b85e108D862b366eC542B475e63d4AB49-1768379410662
0xebbd331b85e108d862b366ec542b475e63d4ab49
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $52.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.00at 0.710Thunder vs. Suns
- +$66.00at 0.670Spurs vs. Warriors
- +$45.00at 0.850Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
- +$14.00at 0.930US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.950US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:00 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.649 | $14.28 |
| 11-02 05:58 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499371274 | $4.6k |
| 11-02 05:57 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.647908939 | $1.6k |
| 11-02 05:56 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6478789304 | $1.7k |
| 11-02 05:55 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6459586015 | $4.3k |
| 11-02 05:55 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.3k |
| 11-02 05:54 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6394703362 | $1.2k |
| 11-02 05:54 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6388447462 | $10.0k |
| 11-02 05:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6321297385 | $3.7k |
| 11-02 05:51 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6240128763 | $6.2k |
| 11-02 05:51 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6124906826 | $2.1k |
| 11-02 05:50 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.609651732 | $9.8k |
| 11-02 05:48 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5984291924 | $3.1k |
| 11-02 05:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5881635108 | $402.87 |
| 10-25 05:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9969999451 | $10.57 |