davpol
0xeae1c93c8ba5ded36a6be65043c3d62b3ed665ec
- Realised P&L
- $-912.95
- Volume
- $197.2k
- Markets traded
- 516
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded516
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.331Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$718.63at 0.370Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$628.34at 0.307Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$626.20at 0.329Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$520.14at 0.542Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:07 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.05 |
| 09-01 14:38 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.05 |
| 09-01 12:46 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499997246 | $1.77 |
| 09-01 11:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0809999351 | $1.05 |
| 08-29 04:30 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999488 | $1.09 |
| 08-29 04:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.09 |
| 08-29 04:23 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999602 | $2.44 |
| 08-29 04:08 | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996999999 | $1.98 |
| 08-29 03:57 | Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.3699998963 | $1.07 |
| 08-27 21:32 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.0899999256 | $1.04 |
| 08-26 16:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6469995338 | $1.02 |
| 08-26 12:50 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.09 |
| 08-26 12:32 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199998628 | $1.09 |
| 08-26 12:16 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.3299998987 | $1.27 |
| 08-26 12:16 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.4099998683 | $1.09 |