PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nomantoo

0xea2e362e3ed3b81df82ab64b123318b8028b1e57

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$121.4k
Markets traded
736
Open portfolio
$858.44

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded736
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4040.255$89.71$52.27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.915$72.93+$2.93
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5780.675$58.41+$8.41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0360.046$57.45+$12.45
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8820.870$44.38$0.61
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3200.255$39.84$10.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8220.842$30.73+$0.73
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · No0.9200.935$29.47+$0.47
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.7100.775$26.21+$2.21
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8960.925$25.82+$0.81
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9500.981$25.81+$0.81
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.4710.655$24.49+$6.89
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.4340.655$24.12+$8.12
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9790.979$20.06$0.00
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.3400.310$18.24$1.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:41Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.84$5.00
07-31 18:23Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)BUY0.54$1.00
07-31 18:23UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)BUY0.25$1.00
07-31 18:23UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-31 18:23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-31 18:23Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.55$1.00
07-31 18:23LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-31 10:52LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.81$49.99
07-30 22:32Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)BUY0.58$50.00
07-30 17:48LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.2799999854$10.00
07-30 17:02LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.5099999847$16.00
07-30 15:25Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)BUY0.5$50.00
07-30 13:56LoL: PCIFIC vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.0416475665$15.00
07-30 08:38Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)BUY0.53$12.00
07-30 05:27LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5699998233$1.00