PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lukapol

0xe9354d07f8dade79f8fd9c0b64c15d98d2423991

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$292.6k
Markets traded
7,299
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,299
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.9371.000$453.99+$28.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.8160.955$163.49+$23.75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? · Yes0.8680.715$70.07$14.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3? · No0.8850.865$57.08$1.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? · No0.6150.845$52.39+$14.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down0.7231.000$44.09+$12.21
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9230.946$39.71+$0.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? · Yes0.8730.905$38.00+$1.33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? · No0.5800.725$36.25+$7.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · No0.8100.805$32.20$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? · Down0.4790.735$31.60+$10.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? · No0.4000.370$31.08$2.56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? · No0.9000.968$30.98+$2.18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? · No0.8600.855$29.07$0.17
Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? · Down0.5430.605$29.04+$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.93$10.40
08-03 06:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.78$6.93
08-03 06:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.81$7.20
08-03 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.93$10.40
08-03 06:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.85$6.66
08-03 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.92$10.29
08-03 06:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.92$7.20
08-03 06:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.91$10.28
08-03 06:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.89$7.20
08-03 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.9$10.17
08-03 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.77$6.93
08-03 06:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.92$10.40
08-03 06:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.9$7.20
08-03 06:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.93$10.29
08-03 06:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.8$6.94