PolyBot

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Traders

lukapol

0xe9354d07f8dade79f8fd9c0b64c15d98d2423991

Realised P&L
$-131.43
Volume
$417.0k
Markets traded
11,769
Open portfolio
$125.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,769
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? · Up0.7730.965$62.32+$12.38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2100.105$15.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.4850.507$12.18+$0.54
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19? · No0.6170.750$9.75+$1.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.3301.000$6.06+$4.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.225$5.50$5.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$5.33$14.35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2650.155$3.10$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.6601.000$3.03+$1.03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2850.045$2.21$11.76
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.4300.285$1.43$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up0.8760.000$0.00$17.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.8100.000$0.00$7.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.8610.000$0.00$21.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 06:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.89$6.23
09-19 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.9099999942$6.23
09-19 05:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY0.869999993$6.23
09-19 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-19 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-19 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
09-19 03:48Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-19 03:47Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-19 03:46Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-19 03:45Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
09-19 03:44Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
09-19 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.7699999846$4.00
09-19 03:41Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?BUY0.7699999846$4.00
09-18 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.8599999862$6.23
09-18 08:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.89$6.23