z148g4rdo93y9
0xe7c27401135a07ee448db27fa528282ad8ccbe3e
- Realised P&L
- $-37.27
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $105.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.04at 0.160Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$15.99at 0.158AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
- +$15.85at 0.550Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
- +$14.65at 0.120Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?
- +$13.14at 0.348Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:16 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 20:39 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999454 | $2.15 |
| 07-16 15:00 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 05:08 | Grok 4.4 released by July 17? | BUY | 0.1899999468 | $2.75 |
| 07-08 05:03 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 01:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $10.55 |
| 07-06 22:25 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 20:20 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 20:20 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999954 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 21:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.39 |
| 06-27 00:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $29.50 |
| 06-26 00:21 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 06-23 01:40 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $12.00 |
| 06-23 01:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 23:27 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |