z148g4rdo93y9
0xe7c27401135a07ee448db27fa528282ad8ccbe3e
- Realised P&L
- $-54.38
- Volume
- $33.7k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $106.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.07at 0.163Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$15.85at 0.550Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
- +$15.83at 0.158AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
- +$14.54at 0.124Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?
- +$12.96at 0.357Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:33 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1931034483 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 07:32 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.235 | $7.83 |
| 09-12 07:32 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.00 |
| 08-31 22:52 | Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 06:40 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2633191768 | $3.50 |
| 08-22 23:54 | Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.29 |
| 08-22 23:53 | Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.0975560085 | $6.50 |
| 08-15 11:26 | Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.37 |
| 08-15 11:25 | Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.0138888889 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 04:01 | Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.0379968825 | $7.00 |
| 08-13 04:00 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 04:00 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.16 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 20:39 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999454 | $2.15 |
| 07-16 15:00 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |