PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe7505c94c7d5980919ad83b8e614142891094850

Realised P&L
$-174.66
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
2,598
Open portfolio
$176.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,598
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · No0.9400.930$20.02$0.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9500.993$18.70+$0.81
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8800.895$17.62+$0.30
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9500.955$17.41+$0.09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.925$14.59+$0.71
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.645$13.35+$1.76
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8100.855$13.19+$0.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8190.600$12.66$4.62
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9800.984$9.07+$0.04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8700.895$5.07+$0.14
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7500.745$4.61$0.03
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7200.720$4.38+$0.00
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6300.745$3.89+$0.60
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7600.755$3.85$0.03
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.7650.960$3.46+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7599998746$3.88
09-17 06:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.8699999876$4.93
09-16 17:48Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.7199999934$4.38
09-16 14:56Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.7499999596$4.64
09-15 19:04Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.1899999896$1.10
09-15 18:03Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.2599999801$1.57
09-15 15:01Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4099999937$2.62
09-15 14:06Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.87$2.90
09-15 06:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?SELL0.995$1.42
09-14 17:59Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.5999999689$3.86
09-13 17:57Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.2$1.27
09-13 14:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.78$6.01
09-13 06:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?SELL0.999$23.36
09-12 19:14Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.4499999925$3.01
09-12 19:14Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.4499999925$3.01