allenzzz
0xe74995389bfc1c24ca656e6c2502c1fca757f771
- Realised P&L
- $79.5k
- Volume
- $5.27M
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $529.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.5kat 0.899Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$9.6kat 0.898Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$8.8kat 0.899Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$8.5kat 0.946Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
- +$3.6kat 0.821Trump out as President by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:36 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $2.5k |
| 09-17 02:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $100.2k |
| 09-17 00:40 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.9608396358 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.3k |
| 09-15 16:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 14:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.6k |
| 09-15 14:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $18.2k |
| 09-15 14:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.8k |
| 09-15 12:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.3k |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.3k |
| 09-14 03:35 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.9498120654 | $101.08 |
| 09-14 03:06 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $72.54 |
| 09-14 03:06 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $583.31 |
| 09-14 03:06 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $48.88 |
| 09-14 03:01 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $377.88 |